Friday, January 1, 2016

Current Refugee Crisis Immigration Statistics (Latest update: 15 March 2016)

This post used to be part of my "New Immigration Rules" post, but that post was getting way too long and sloppy.  So, I have moved everything over here.

Here is just some ongoing information and statistics on the refugee crisis, to help you determine where Sweden (and the rest of Europe) is at in terms of being bogged down by immigration.  It is very important to read the definitions of what a Refugee, someone in need of Subsidiary Protection, and those in need of "Other Protection" are, in order to understand what rights are being granted.  All definitions (as well as the new immigration rules for asylum seekers) can be found in my blog post here.

Current Immigration Statistics - Q4 2015
*Red highlights are just to remind me what numbers need to be updated each quarter when new data is released.  Apologies for the annoyance*

For those of you who are statisticians like me, I pulled some EuroStat reports on the refugee crisis felt among the EU28 member states of the European Union.  Note that these stats are only currently available as of Q4 2015 (which would be as of 31 December 2015).  EuroStat has a 3-month lag, which means that this data was published March 3, but the numbers are only as of 31 December. I will update the info graphs as soon as new ones are available. The links to the EuroStat page are all imbedded in the titles of the charts below, in case you want to look into the source data, footnotes, etc. Click on the images to make them larger, or click the chart title link to be redirected to the source data.

This table shows you the total number of asylum applications received by the European Union in aggregate, based on the applicant's country of nationality.  You will see that the numbers reflect applications on a monthly basis between Q4 2014 and Q4 2015 (which is 31 December 2014 - 31 December 2015).  The "Change in %" column shows the percentage increase (or decrease) in the number of applications received as of the end of Q4 2014 versus the end of Q4 2015.

This chart shows the 6 main countries in the European Union that have made the highest number of decisions on asylum applications. For each country, it shows the number of decisions that country has issued in Q4 2015 (which is 30 September 2015 - 31 December 2015).  Of these decisions, the pie charts shows the percentage of "Outcomes".  The decisions handed down by the government either classify the applicant as a Refugee, someone in need of Subsidiary Protection, someone who is granted asylum for humanitarian reasons, and those who were Rejected.

These figures are important to note in light of the new immigration rules, to understand how many refugees are actually being considered refugees, versus those who are granted Subsidiary Protection (and are given far fewer rights than refugees).  If understood correctly, as of 24 November 2015, Sweden will no longer be granting asylum on the basis of humanitarian reasons.

Also note the national populations of these countries in relation to the number of decisions they have given, to get a sense for the proportionate share of refugee applications each country is receiving:

Here are the Q4 2015 stats
Germany: 80.6 million (2013) -- 100,530 decisions in Q4 2015 represents 0.12% of the total population; 28% rejected.
Italy:  59.8 million (2013) -- 27,310 decisions in Q4 2015 represents 0.05% of the total population; 64% rejected.
France: 66.3 million (2013) -- 21,725 decisions in Q4 2015 represents 0.03% of the total population; 72% rejected.
Sweden:  9.6 million (2013) -- 14,920 decisions in Q4 2015 represents 0.15% of the total population; 36% rejected.
UK:  64.1 million (2013) --  8,710 decisions in Q4 2015 represents 0.01% of the total population; 63% rejected.
Netherlands:  16.8 million (2013) --  7,730 decisions in Q4 2015 represents 0.05% of the total population; 13% rejected.

Here are the Q3 2015 stats, for comparison
Germany: 80.6 million (2013) -- 54,335 decisions in Q3 2015 represents 0.07% of the total population; 50% rejected.
France: 66.3 million (2013) -- 19,735 decisions in Q3 2015 represents 0.03% of the total population; 74% rejected.
Italy:  59.8 million (2013) -- 19,645 decisions in Q3 2015 represents 0.03% of the total population; 60% rejected.
Sweden:  9.6 million (2013) -- 11,385 decisions in Q3 2015 represents 0.12% of the total population; 20% rejected.
UK:  64.1 million (2013) --  8,650 decisions in Q3 2015 represents 0.01% of the total population; 63% rejected.
Netherlands:  16.8 million (2013) --  4,530 decisions in Q3 2015 represents 0.03% of the total population; 29% rejected.

The graph below shows the same information as the pie charts above (for Q4 2015, which is 1 September 2015 - 31 December 2015), however in far greater detail as it contains the statistics for all EU countries receiving asylees and the decision outcomes they have handed down.  The "Total" column under "Rate of Recognition" shows the percentage of total applicants per country, who were given a positive decision (in other words, they were not rejected). The "of which" column to the right of it shows just the percentage of individuals granted Refugee or Subsidiary Protection status; not humanitarian reasons.

Note that these data are for first time applicants.  They are all allowed to appeal, and some are successful.
This chart shows the 6 main nationalities of applicants who have applied for asylum in the EU during Q4 2015 (1 September 2015 - 31 December 2015). For each nationality, it shows the number of decisions that the group of people have received across all of the EU.  Of these decisions, the pie charts shows the percentage of "Outcomes" handed down by the countries receiving the applications. The decisions handed down by the government either classify the applicant as a Refugee, someone in need of Subsidiary Protection, someone who is granted asylum for humanitarian reasons, and those who were Rejected.

The graph below shows the same information as the pie charts above (as of Q4 2015, which is 1 September 2015 - 31 December 2015), however in far greater detail as it contains the statistics for a far greater number of applicant nationalities applying for asylum in the EU.  The "Total" column under "Rate of Recognition" shows the percentage of total applicants per country, who were given a positive decision (in other words, they were not rejected). The "of which" column to the right of it shows just the percentage of individuals granted Refugee or Subsidiary Protection status; not humanitarian reasons.

Note that these data are for first time applicants.  They are all allowed to appeal, and some are successful.

More to come!

1 comment:

  1. thank you so much Megan :) , well we're kinda unlucky by applying in such circumstences , i know some one from algeria that took him 8 months for everything , but he was lucky cuz he applied on paper in 2012 now he's in stockholm , the lucky him :) , well hope that this will end n everything becoomes like before , in the same time i thank you for the efforts u do to share such informations to us , continue , we support u , :) good luck Gladiator

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